Friday, July 11, 2014

Radon vs. Lung Cancer in Ireland

Radon vs. Lung Cancer in Ireland

Recently, a report was published by Radiological Protection Institute of Ireland entitled “Radiation Doses Received by the Irish Population 2014”).  In this report, Figure 4 displays a map of Ireland showing radon levels in homes, with brown and dark brown colors indicating higher levels.



An article in Irish Examiner announced this report with the headline “High levels of radon linked to lung cancer”.  It said in part “Radon is a naturally occurring radioactive gas which can accumulate in buildings to unacceptable levels. It is the second biggest cause of lung cancer after smoking and is linked to up to 250 lung cancer cases per year in Ireland.

I decided to see how the lung cancer rates in Ireland correlate with radon. The lung cancer risk in Ireland has been published in a report by National Cancer Registry of Ireland. The geographical variation of lung cancer risk is shown in Map 6.1 of this document.    In this map, dark blue color corresponds to higher lung cancer risk.


Comparing the two maps of radon levels and lung cancer risks, I marked the high lung cancer areas (dark blue color) in red ovals, and the corresponding areas (approximately) in the radon map also in red ovals.  Then I marked the high radon areas in the radon map (dark and light brown color) in green ovals, and the corresponding areas in the lung cancer map in green ovals.  As can be seen in the graph below, the red ovals (high lung cancers) in the radon map are generally in white areas (low radon levels) and the green ovals (high radon levels) on the lung cancer map are generally covering green color in the lung cancer map indicating low lung cancer rates.  The ovals drawn are approximate but the trends are clear.  Higher radon levels do not appear to be associated with higher lung cancer rates but lower lung cancer rates.
I have made similar comparisons for England and USA, with similar observed trends (figures not shown here). 

Though many factors contribute to lung cancer, on first look, high residential radon levels don’t appear to be correlated with high lung cancer risk but they appear to be correlated with reduced lung cancer risk.  In view of these observations, the headline and the text of the story in Irish Examiner “High levels of radon linked to lung cancer” may present a misleading picture on the hazards of residential radon.  
                                                                                             - Mohan Doss
                                                                                               mohandoss99@gmail.com